Data Report 5

High Country Demographics and Statistics

This is the fifth in a continuing series of articles meant to provide demographic data and statistics to local officials and local interests to assist in their decision-making efforts.

Poverty in the High Country 2000-2003

Definition of Poverty
The Federal Government measures poverty from two distinctive perspectives: poverty thresholds and poverty guidelines. Poverty thresholds are maintained by the Census Bureau and are used primarily for statistical purposes, such as estimating the numbers of people deemed to be living in poverty. This system is based on size of the household unit and the number of related children under 18 years of age within the family. There is also consideration as to whether or not the householder is at least 65 years of age.

Poverty guidelines are issued in the Federal Register annually by the Department of Health and Human Services and are used for determining financial eligibility for various government programs. Poverty guidelines do take household size into consideration, but do not differentiate on the ages of the householder or its members . There are also separate sets of calculations for Alaska and Hawaii.

The Numbers
This report uses population estimates for July 1st of 2000 and 2003 in order to make comparisons for the span. These figures are derived by the Census Bureau using the April 1, 2000 Census and applying a model for moving the national population ahead to July 1. That calculation is further manipulated to estimate how many of the 'new' citizens would reside in North Carolina, and then again to place those new North Carolinians into its component counties. This process is repeated in successive years to produce the 2003 estimate.

Figures for the High Country see a population growth at one-third the rate for the State as a unit and a poverty rate that exceeds that of the State for both years of comparison. Optimistically, the difference in poverty rates narrowed from 2000 to 2003. The proportions of how many people are estimated to be living in poverty that are below 18 years of age are roughly 40% in both the State and High Country.

A median is the middle instance of an occurrence in a continuum, such as the number 5 being the middle digit of the numbers from 1 to 9. It indicates that there are an equal number of a phenomenon both above and below this point. It is often used as a measure of income to dispel averages that may be skewed by uncharacteristically high or low figures.

Median household income in the High Country is estimated to have declined in 6 of the 7 counties between 2000 and 2003 while it is to have risen by over $500 for all of North Carolina.

What's in a Number
A previous article in this series based on State Demographer projections concluded that the High Country will continue to be a smaller and smaller proportion of the State's total population in the immediate future. This three-year span of estimates by the Census Bureau noting the expected population growth for the Region compared to the State would tend to support that contention.

While poverty can be at least partly subjective, using an applied objective standard that is recognized by the Federal Government, the High Country has a greater share of its citizens living in poverty than the North Carolina average. This has potential implications on the need for various type of human assistance.

A decline in median family income in six of seven counties would account for some of the increases in poverty levels measured now but also would tend to mean that there are more folks that are just a couple of hours' pay a week above that line.

 For further information:
The Bureau of the Census has its thresholds going back to 1980 at http://www.census.gov/hhes/poverty/threshld.html .

 The population estimates were obtained from http://www.census.gov/popest/counties/CO-EST2004-01.html.

Poverty figures by State, County, and school district can be found at http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/saipe/index.html . (State and County 1989, 1993, 1995-2003) School District 1995, 1997, 1999-2003)

Poverty guidelines from 1982 to 2005 are available from Health and Human Services at http://aspe.hhs.gov/poverty/figures-fed-reg.shtml .

Data

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